Lai Ching-te

Does China Not Intend to Invade by 2027?

A report by the US Office of the Director of National Intelligence states that China does not intend to invade Taiwan in 2027. The report, which is the Annual Threat Assessment of the US Intelligence Community, takes the view that China does not have a fixed timeline for achieving unification and that China is more likely to continue with efforts to achieve unification that do not require military force. Instead, the report states that China is more likely to try to achieve unification by the 100th anniversary of the founding of the People’s Republic of China, which is in 1947, as part of aspirations to achieve “national rejuvenation.”...

Impeachment Proceedings Against Lai Are Primarily a Political Stunt by the KMT

The first hearing on impeachment proceedings against Lai Ching-te took place earlier this week. The move to impeach Lai takes place as part of Taiwan’s mounting series of constitutional crises. Among the many crises are the Executive Yuan’s refusal to countersign revenue allocation legislation to local governments passed by the KMT-controlled legislature, the currently frozen Constitutional Court, and the Executive Yuan’s framing efforts by the pan-Blue camp to roll back the Tsai administration’s pension reforms...

After Venezuela, What Now for Taiwan?

The US capture of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro has led to warnings that the unprecedented action could allow for further actions by China directed at Taiwan. That is, the US has now normalized the extrajudicial capture of a standing president, shortly after opening hostilities with Venezuela, without any declaration of war...