cross-strait relations

Does Xi’s Purge of Generals Make It More Or Less Likely that China Would Attack Taiwan?

The Chinese government has continued to purge senior military officials. The latest round of purges leaves Chinese president Xi Jinping in sole operational control of the People’s Liberation Army (PLA), with General Zhang Youxia and General Liu Zhengli placed under investigation over apparent violations. The fall from grace of the two generals has taken many by surprise, particularly as Zhang was a personal friend of Xi...

DPP Two-State Proposal Likely to be Criticized by the KMT

A proposal advanced by the DPP legislative caucus to rid the Act Governing Relations between the People of the Taiwan Area and the Mainland Area of the long-enshrined distinction between the “Mainland Area” and “Free Area” is unlikely to advance. The KMT and its ally, the TPP, currently hold the majority in the legislature together and are unlikely to support such a bill...

End-of-Year Drills Should Disprove View that PLA Exercises Are Only Ever A Response to Taiwan or the US

The People's Liberation Army has announced a new set of military drills to take place around Taiwan starting tomorrow. These drills are entitled “Justice Mission 2025.” This breaks from preceding Chinese military drills, with two drills in 2024 entitled “Joint Sword 2024-A” and “Joint Sword 2024-B” in May and October. It is understood that “Justice Mission 2025” will practice blockades of ports and other key strategic infrastructure in Taiwan, with live-fire drills taking place in five maritime and airspace zones...